empty
26.02.2025 12:09 PM
Have the Worst Times Arrived for the Cryptocurrency Market? (There is a possibility of further declines in gold and Bitcoin prices after an attempted upward correction)

Since Donald Trump's victory in the presidential race last November, the majority of significant cryptocurrency tokens have either sharply corrected downward or entered a consolidation phase within a sideways range.

One might have expected that the return of President Trump would provide strong support for the cryptocurrency market. His previous favorable statements about the future of this financial sector, along with the launch of a Trump family token, should have sparked a renewed demand for these popular financial assets. However, this did not occur. On the contrary, the enthusiastic growth seen earlier has diminished, and for many assets, it has been completely erased.

This situation once again demonstrates the artificial nature of the factors driving demand for these financial instruments, making trading them a much more complex endeavor compared to the stock and forex markets, which were previously considered the most high-risk.

Returning to the crypto market situation—what prevents token demand from rising? The primary factor is the uncertainty surrounding the future state of the U.S. economy amid Trump's domestic and foreign policies. The threats—and, in some cases, already implemented—tariff increases on Chinese imports create uncertainty about their actual impact on the U.S. In this environment, crypto investors are unsure whether demand for these assets will grow.

Trump's protectionist policies, which have already begun taking effect in the U.S., could become a strong catalyst for increased demand in the stock market, particularly for shares of companies that may surge in the short and medium term. For example, today's 4% rise in copper prices, driven by higher import tariffs on the metal, is expected to support stocks of mining and metallurgical companies. In such a scenario, many token investors may start questioning whether it makes sense to take risks with cryptocurrencies when they could simply buy stocks of these companies and, in addition to potential price appreciation, receive dividends—which isn't a bad deal. This trend could spread across the entire market.

Investors previously accumulated capital in crypto assets, which could easily be shifted to stocks. The role of the U.S. dollar should not be overlooked. Although the dollar is currently facing pressure, the gradual stabilization of the American market, along with Trump's efforts to strengthen the dollar's global position, could lead to increased demand for it.

What about gold? The sharp profit-taking in gold observed yesterday suggests that a potential resolution of tensions between Russia and the West, particularly the U.S., could significantly reduce geopolitical risks—or even neutralize them temporarily. In this scenario, investors may start seeking assets that can generate some interest income, which is something gold cannot provide.

History tells us that the U.S. stock market experienced rapid growth after World War II. A similar situation could unfold in America soon—provided Trump manages to strike a deal with Putin and put the U.S. economy on a growth trajectory.

What can we expect from the cryptocurrency market?

If this scenario unfolds, the crypto market could be pushed to the sidelines, leading to a significant drop in token demand and, consequently, a decline in their value—especially against the U.S. dollar.

What to expect from the markets today?

The U.S. and crypto stock markets will likely consolidate within sideways ranges. As for the dollar, a temporary rebound in the ICE dollar index to 106.75 is possible, but this should not yet be interpreted as a change in the current trend. This week, the market's primary focus is the PCE index report, a key indicator for Fed rate decisions, and the second estimate of U.S. GDP for Q4 2024.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Daily Forecast

Gold

Gold has reached our previous target level of 2,903.00. A break below this level could lead to further demand weakness and a decline to 2,876.15.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin remains under significant pressure due to waning interest amid global and U.S. economic developments. The price may correct upwards toward 91,095.00, from which it could rebound and retest the support level of 86,080.70.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Apa yang Perlu Diperhatikan pada 8 April? Penjelasan Fundamental untuk Pedagang Baharu

Sekali lagi, tiada peristiwa makroekonomi dijadualkan pada hari Rabu. Walau bagaimanapun, pasaran kurang memberi perhatian kepada penunjuk makroekonomi tradisional, jadi laporan ekonomi biasa tidak diperlukan. Pasaran sepenuhnya tertumpu kepada Perang

Paolo Greco 06:57 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan GBP/USD. 9 April. Maklumat Palsu, Khabar Angin, Spekulasi dan Pendapat

Pasangan mata wang GBP/USD didagangkan dengan agak tenang pada hari Selasa, tetapi hari Isnin membawa ribut penuh ke dalam pasaran. Selama beberapa hari kebelakangan ini, kami telah menggunakan istilah seperti

Paolo Greco 02:55 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Gambaran EUR/USD. 9 April. Sarkas Amerika dan Ketenangan Sementara Pasaran

Pasangan mata wang EUR/USD didagangkan dengan lebih tenang pada hari Selasa. Tidak hairanlah—pasaran sudah bertindak balas terhadap semua berita mengenai tarif dan tindak balas tarif, dan tarikh pelaksanaan sebenar tidak

Paolo Greco 02:55 2025-04-09 UTC+2

NZD/USD. Analisis dan Ramalan

Pasangan NZD/USD sedang berusaha untuk mendapatkan semula momentum positif, disokong oleh jualan semula dolar AS. Walau bagaimanapun, mengambil kira asas-asas yang sedia ada, pedagang kenaikan harga dinasihatkan untuk berhati-hati. Para

Irina Yanina 19:45 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Pasaran Mendedahkan Rahsia

Dunia adalah sebuah pentas, dan manusia adalah pelakonnya. Tragedi jenaka berlaku setiap hari di pasaran kewangan, tetapi apa yang terjadi pada permulaan minggu kedua April adalah menakjubkan. Dalam hanya beberapa

Marek Petkovich 11:49 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Adakah Esok Lebih Baik daripada Semalam? (Risiko Kejatuhan Semula dalam Harga AUD/USD dan Emas)

Mudah untuk kekal optimis dan berharap agar pihak pembuat keputusan bertindak mengikut kehendak kita. Mengapa perkara ini berlaku? Dan mengapa ia boleh menjadi perangkap buat para pelabur? Gelombang jualan

Pati Gani 09:25 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Apakah yang Perlu Diberi Perhatian pada 8 April? Pecahan Acara Asas kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Laporan Makroekonomi: Tiada acara makroekonomi dijadualkan pada hari Selasa. Namun, situasi pasaran semasa tidak begitu dipengaruhi oleh latar belakang makroekonomi. Pada masa ini, pasaran tidak memerlukan pengeluaran makroekonomi standard

Paolo Greco 07:35 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan GBP/USD. 8 April. Kini Pound Pula Menjunam ke Dalam Jurang

Pasangan mata wang GBP/USD meneruskan penurunannya yang hampir menyerupai kejatuhan mendadak sepanjang hari Isnin. Adakah sesiapa pun mampu menjelaskan, walaupun secara retrospektif, apa sebenarnya yang sedang berlaku dalam pasaran sekarang

Paolo Greco 06:07 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan EUR/USD. 8 April. 2025 – Tahun Perang Dagang

Pada hari Isnin, pasangan mata wang EUR/USD mengalami turun naik yang ketara. Perkara ini khusus untuk suatu pergelaran "Isnin membosankan," tanpa sebarang peristiwa besar dijadualkan. Namun, semalam jauh dari membosankan—ramai

Paolo Greco 06:07 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Pound Berusaha Bertahan Dalam Saluran Menaik

United Kingdom adalah antara beberapa negara G20 yang terkesan lebih ringan—ia dikenakan tarif 25% ke atas eksport kereta dan tarif 10% ke atas barangan lain. Ini adalah jauh lebih rendah

Kuvat Raharjo 00:58 2025-04-08 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.