empty
07.02.2025 01:12 PM
USD/CAD: Where Is the Pair Headed as It Struggles for a Clear Short-Term Direction?

This image is no longer relevant

The USD/CAD pair remains in consolidation, trading within a narrow range near the psychological level of 1.4300, while holding above the 1.4260 level, which represents the year's low and was retested on Wednesday.

This image is no longer relevant

The current sideways movement is driven by anticipation of significant economic data, which could influence the pair's next direction. In particular, investors are awaiting key employment reports from both the U.S. and Canada, which will have a major impact on the market.

The U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is expected to shape market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook and will play a crucial role in driving demand for the U.S. dollar. Given the dominance of U.S. economic data, it is likely that the NFP report will overshadow the Canadian employment data, providing the USD/CAD pair with a stronger directional push.

However, expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance are forcing USD bulls into a defensive position, creating a headwind for the pair's upward potential. Uncertainty over potential Fed rate cuts continues to weigh on the U.S. dollar, limiting USD/CAD's ability to gain ground.

This image is no longer relevant

Additionally, recovering crude oil prices are lending support to the Canadian dollar, given Canada's status as a major oil exporter.

Further uncertainty stems from U.S. trade policies and the Bank of Canada's cautious outlook. Investors have already digested Donald Trump's recent decision to delay the implementation of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, reducing trade-related pressure. At the same time, the Bank of Canada's dovish tone is preventing traders from taking aggressive long positions on the Canadian dollar, particularly after USD/CAD recently hit a more than 20-year high.

Key Levels and Technical Outlook

Investors will closely watch the employment reports, as they could provide key signals on future currency market trends and influence capital flows.

From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved into negative territory, reinforcing a bearish outlook for USD/CAD in the near term.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

What to Pay Attention to on April 23? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

A considerable number of macroeconomic events are scheduled for Wednesday. All of them are Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reports for April in the services and manufacturing sectors. The indices will

Paolo Greco 07:01 2025-04-23 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – April 23: The British Pound Can't Stop Smiling

On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair traded much more calmly, yet again showed signs of a "maxed-out flat" pattern. As previously noted, the US dollar has only had two behaviors

Paolo Greco 04:56 2025-04-23 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – April 23: Another Calm Before Another Collapse?

The EUR/USD currency pair traded more calmly on Tuesday than on Monday. The US dollar managed to avoid another fall, but it's too early to celebrate. The greenback can collapse

Paolo Greco 04:56 2025-04-23 UTC+2

USD/JPY. On the Threshold of the 139th Figure

The USD/JPY pair has been in a consistent downtrend for the fourth consecutive week. On Tuesday, sellers pushed the pair to the edge of the 139.00 area, hitting the lowest

Irina Manzenko 00:46 2025-04-23 UTC+2

The Dollar Has Been Replaced. Nature Abhors a Vacuum

Fear paralyzes, but action persists. Investors are slowly overcoming their concerns over Donald Trump's attacks on the independence of the Federal Reserve and are starting to lock in profits

Marek Petkovich 00:08 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Bitcoin Took Its Chance

Slow and steady wins the race! Bitcoin quietly broke through to its highest levels since early March amid Donald Trump's attacks on Jerome Powell. When the independence of the Federal

Marek Petkovich 00:08 2025-04-23 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

After setting a new all-time high at $3500 under overbought conditions, gold prices are pulling back. Nevertheless, bullish sentiment remains strong due to persistent concerns over the potential economic fallout

Irina Yanina 19:02 2025-04-22 UTC+2

EUR/GBP. Analysis and Forecast

The EUR/GBP pair is losing ground today after two consecutive days of gains, trading near the psychological level of 0.8600. The pound is receiving support from optimism surrounding ongoing trade

Irina Yanina 11:52 2025-04-22 UTC+2

Why the U.S. Dollar Keeps Falling

The U.S. dollar fell to its lowest level since January 2024 after President Donald Trump's criticism of the Federal Reserve sparked concerns over the central bank's independence. The dollar weakened

Jakub Novak 11:12 2025-04-22 UTC+2

Loss of Confidence in the Fed Will Pressure the Dollar (Bitcoin Likely to Continue Rising, USD/CAD to Decline)

On Monday, the U.S. stock market experienced a sharp decline, pulling down many global exchanges, as the "turbulent" actions of President Trump continue to shift from one hot topic

Pati Gani 09:00 2025-04-22 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.