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12.07.2024 05:45 AM
2024年7月12日英鎊/美元匯率預測

GBP/USD

英鎊因美國消費者物價指數(CPI)數據疲軟和美元下跌而受到歡迎,大幅上升至目標水平1.2975。在這裡,空頭將在Marlin振盪器出現弱勢背離的情況下,最後一次有機會改變局勢。

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如果價格突破1.2975,指標的信號線將高於5月27日至28日的峰值,消除了形成背離的可能性。這將為英鎊向2023年7月峰值所確定的目標區域1.3124/41的上升開啟燦爛的前景。價格有約40%的機會重新跌破1.2847。然而,這一回跌將鞏固低位背離,進而引導英鎊下跌至1.2633。

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在4小時圖表上,Marlin振盪器的信號線正在快速下降,這向我們展示了振盪器在進一步上升之前的放電過程,將價格拉至1.2975的目標水平。然而,如果Marlin繼續下降並鞏固在負區域,則可能顯著阻礙上升運動。MACD線正在快速接近1.2847水平,如果價格鞏固在該線以下,將動搖目前的看漲基礎。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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